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24 August  2004

Politics and Macroeconomics

 

Oil And Gas Condensate Export Increased

Kazakhstan exported 25,101,200 tonnes of oil and gas condensate from January to June 2004, a 16% increase from what was exported from January to June of last year. According to the National Statistical Agency, exports totalled USD 4,524,700 (up 34%). Meanwhile the import of natural gas for the reported period was 6.554 bcm, a 43% increase valued at USD 205.6 Million (up 48%).

For the period from January to June 2004, the country exported 1,069,400 tonnes of petrochemicals (up 26%) valued at USD 185 Million (up 73% respectively). At the same time, it increased the import of petrochemicals by 2.1 times, reaching 938,000 tonnes valued at USD 212.9 Million (up 2.3 times).

The country produced 24,457,300 tonnes of crude oil and 3,734,800 tonnes of condensate which is 10% and 27% respectfully, more than it was from January to June of last year. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

Investments Exceed KZT 600 Billion

According to Kazakhstan Statistics Agency, within the first seven months of 2004, the volume of investments into fixed assets of Kazakhstani enterprises increased by 11.2% and totalled KZT 638.1 Billion. The main sources of investment are enterprises’ assets (over 60%), foreign investment (27%), and budgets of all levels (12%).

Investments increased in practically in all oblasts of the republic. The most considerable funds were invested into fixed assets of enterprises in Atyrau, East Kazakhstan, Pavlodar, Kostanay, Almaty Oblast and Astana. The oil and gas industry remains a priority for investors. The machine-building industry and construction also experienced increased investment. (Kazakhstan Today)

 

Equities

The KASE-Shares index decreased by 9.97% to 176.80 by the end of period on August 17 2004.

 KASE-Shares index and weekly volume of trades

Note: KASE-Shares index is based on ask prices for equities in A Listing

In the period between August 11 and August 17 2004, the volume of equity trades at the KASE increased to USD 21,385,881 from USD 13,490,568 in the previous period. The shares traded during the period were common shares of Almaty Kus (ALKS), Bank TuranAlem (BTAS), Kazakhmys (KZMS), Ordabasy (ORDB), UKTMK (UTMK), ValutTransit Bank (VTBN), ValutTransit Zoloto (VTZL) and Zerde (ZERD) and preferred shares of Kazkommertsbank (KKGBp) and ValutTransit Bank (VTBNp). (Irbis)

Company

Number of  Shares Sold

Closing Price USD

Change

ALKS

23,717,876

0.10

+28.9%

BTAS

1,171

94.74

0.0%

KZMS

44,735

15.52

0.0%

ORDB

107,195

14.69

-2.2%

UTMK

225,847

26.15

0.0%

VTBN

3,205,594

2.57

-0.03%

VTZL

514,406

1.98

+28.6%

ZERD

30,474,752

0.01

+3.3%

KKGBp

4,100,000

0.66

-25.8%

VTBNp

85,548

1.98

-18.5%

Company News

Oil & Gas

The National Oil and Gas Company, KazMunayGas plans to purchase the Plastic Mass Plant (PMP). The Kazakhstani Company, SAT & Co will hold 50% shares, and will participate in one-half of the ownership and take part in restoration of the petrochemical facility in the Mangystau Oblast, the Deputy Oblast Akim, Askar Kasabekov said.

The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources approved the foundation of the National Petrochemical Industrial Park (NPCHIP), a FEZ (Free Economic Zone) Thus, “plants that are included into the petrochemical facility, such as PMP, KazGRP in Zhanaozen and Atyrau ORP where a restoration of a benzol production workshop is being planned, would be exempted from a number of taxes for the duration of their initial development”, Mr. Kasabekov remarked.

Mr. Kasabekov said that around USD 150-200 Million would be required for the launch of the entire petrochemical chain. Approximately 1 billion cubic meters of gas per year would be needed for the petrochemical facility to operate. As a comparison, the MAEK-KazAtomProm facility consumes almost 1.5-2 billion cubic meters of gas per year.

The process of restoration and formation of the NPCHIP will begin during early 2005. “It is very good project. For the last 3 years, the price for polystyrene increased 50% globally -it is currently nearly USD 100 per 1 ton of polystyrene. In the petrochemical market, PMP is in great demand. The plant possesses many opportunities ” he said. (Kazakhstan Today)

***

In January – July 2004, TengizChevroil (TCO, develops Tengiz deposit in western Kazakhstan) pumped 8.3 million tonnes of oil through the CPC export pipeline, including oil produced in December 2003, reads a TCO press release. In January - July 2004, TCO extracted 7.8 million tonnes of oil with a daily average extraction of 286,070 barrels. In 2003, extraction volume totalled 12.7 million tonnes with a daily extraction of 277,000 barrels. Currently, TCO produces 2-3 bcm of associated gas annually.

For the accounting period TCO sold 1.9 mcm of dry gas, including 0.7 mcm delivered to Russia. Sales volume of dry gas in 2003 totalled 3.2 mcm, including 1.3 mcm that was sold to Russia. For the first seven months of this year, TCO sold 446,752 tonnes of sulphur (in 2003 sales volume totalled 410,000 tonnes). The product was exported to Mediterranean countries, China and Russia.

TCO “supports the efforts of Kazakhstan to achieve maximum utilization of domestic resources, specifically in production and services from national manufacturers and suppliers for the entire amount of production and services purchased.” Thus, in 2003 the cost of goods and services received from Kazakhstani manufacturers, contractors and suppliers totalled USD 563 Million. This figure will be USD 600 Million in 2004. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

***

Larry Andersen has been appointed as the president and general asset manager of BG Kazakhstan, a company press release read.

Andersen brings over 30 years of industry experience from his long-time role at Texaco, now ChevronTexaco, including leading the reconstruction of the Kuwait oilfields and overseeing Texaco’s entry into the Karachaganak project in 1997.

According to the EVP and Managing Director for Asia and Middle East, Dave Roberts, “this represents a significant leadership change for our business in Kazakhstan, which we hope will enable us to increase our cooperation and understanding with our government and contracting partners in the Karachaganak venture. The positioning of senior management in Kazakhstan marks a new phase in our involvement here”.

Currently, BG Kazakhstan is a joint operator of the gas and condensate deposit Karachaganak holding a 32.5% share, and it is also a CPC stockholder with a 2% share. (Kazakhstan Today)

***

The Norwegian-based company, Aker Kvaerner signed a letter of intent for construction of floating rigs as well as a facility for performing this project in the Caspian Sea.

The customer for the seven barges appears to be Agip Kazakhstan North Caspian Operating Company N.V., the operator of the North Caspian project in Kazakhstan’s Caspian Sea sector. The barges are chiefly designed for the first phase of development of the Kashagan deposit. The final negotiations and the conclusion of the contract are scheduled for autumn.

The size of each barge is 95 x 16 m, and the frame height is 5.5 m. Three of these barges will be equipped with oil treatment plants, two will have gas drying plants and glycol regeneration, one will be fitted with an emergency electrical power station and another one will house fire fighting equipment.

The frames for these units will be built at the Aker Tulcea plants and Brailov dockyards in Rumania, then they will later be fitted with equipment at the Norwegian city of Egersun and later at Astrakhanskiy Korabel plants. (RusEnergy)

Banking and Finance

Within the first half of 2004, the OJSC ValutTransit Bank’s (VTBN) ForEx/gold holdings have doubled and now total KZT 1.4 Billion, the bank’s press service has disclosed. As of July 1, the majority (over 65%) of ForEx/gold holdings include bars of affined gold and salaries corresponding to world standards (9999).

From January through June 2004, VTBN net gold reserves in the form of affined precious metals increased 32% (in current plans) and totalled KZT 920 Million.

Gold purchases on the domestic market have resulted in an increase in ForEx/gold holdings. Boost of volume of standard gold species totalled over 5,000 ounces. The overall increase of VTBN ForEx/gold holdings within the first half of year, including foreign currency amounted to KZT 728 Million. (Kazakhstan Today)

***

Canadian based PetroKazakhstan Inc. has announced that it is proceeding with renewal of its normal course issuer bid in connection with its share repurchase program. According to the press service, as part of the program, they plan to repurchase up to 7,091,429 Class A common shares through the Toronto Stock Exchange, representing 10% of its public stock floatation. All shares that have been purchased under the share repurchase program by the Corporation will be cancelled.

The renewed share repurchase program will commence on August 13, 2004 and terminate On August 12, 2005. The renewal of the normal course issuer bid is in the best interests of the corporation and its shareholders as it provides the company with a reasonable and flexible way of rebalancing their capital structure.

PetroKazakhstan is an integrated international energy company that has been working in Kazakhstan for seven years. It is involved in oil exploration, production, export, refinement and sale of petroleum products. The Corporation is the owner of the Shymkent refinery.

PetroKazakhstan's shares are traded on four international stock exchanges, in Canada on the Toronto Stock Exchange, in the United States on the New York Stock Exchange, in the United Kingdom on the London Stock Exchange and in Germany on the Frankfurt Exchange. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

***

International experts say that Kazakhstan is experiencing an acceptable level of bank competition for present conditions. This is despite the fact that “the bank sector has a high level of concentration in assets, loans and deposits,” say experts from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank (WBN).

This opinion is contained in a report of the joint mission of IMF and WBN presented by the Chair of the State Financial Supervisory Agency Bolat Zhamishev at a news conference Thursday in Almaty. Earlier, Kazakhstani premier Daniyal Akhmetov communicated the necessity of reforming the banking system due to a high level of monopolization. “There are many problems in the financial sector.         These certainly include the monopolization of the three main banking institutions”, the head of the government told a press conference in early August. (The Kazakhstani bank system is based on the three largest commercial banks; Kazkommertsbank, Bank TuranAlem and Halyk Saving Bank, which amount to approximately 65% of all bank sector in the country).

However, Zhamishev said that in the opinion of the IMF and WBN mission “the level of concentration in the banking sector is comparable to similar parameters in the European countries.”

As of August 1, 2004, there were 35 second-tier banks, including 2 that were state owned, 15 with foreign participation, including 10 affiliates of non-resident banks.

The total banking assets as of the end of July 2004, reached KZT 2,021.7 Billion from about KZT 1,677 Billion in January 2004, aggregate estimated capital – KZT 278.5 Billion from KZT 233.51 Billion respectively (current exchange rate 135.21/$1). (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

***

During the first half of August, an increase in international reserves in the Kazakhstani Halyk Bank has been observed, HSBK press service disclosed.

At current prices, HSBK net international reserves have increased by 0.4% (or USD 29.9 Million). Purchases in the domestic currency market and exchange receipts on the account of Kazakhstani Finance Ministry to HSBK have resulted in the replenishment of net currency reserves (FC), an increase of USD 21.6 Million. Assets in gold have also increased USD 8.3 Million as a result of operations carried out by HSBK and growth in the price of gold in world markets was 0.8%.

In constant prices, HSBK net international reserves have grown 0.4%, net assets in Free Currency – 0.4%, assets in gold have increased 0.4%. International reserves as a whole (in current prices, including the National Fund (according to preliminary data, USD 3,742.800), totalled USD 10,432.100. Growth in previous months totalled 0.4%. (KazInform)

Metals and Mining

On Thursday in the city of Yekaterinburg, the Sverdlovsk railway (SvRW, a subsidiary of RRW) and the National Railway Company, Kazakhstan Temir Zholy (KTZH) signed a protocol on coal transportation from the Ekibastuz coal basin in 2004-2005 to Sverdlovsk Oblast consumers, the SvRW press service said.

A term reduction for train travel time and parking loaded with Ekibastuz coal, as well as an increase in train turnover is expected. During the meeting Kazakhstani and Russian representatives signed this protocol for the period of 2004-2005 on coal supply.

The necessity for acceleration in the turnover of coal trains going from the Ekibastuz coal basin to the Middle Urals was noted. The Meeting participants also remarked that Ekibastuz coal was a strategically important raw material resource for the Sverdlovsk Oblast industry, most notably for the metallurgy plants of Sverdlovenergo.

The necessity for increasing the mean speed of the cargo trains was also acknowledged, and that setting fixed movement schedules and updating and repairing rolling stock was also very important.

By the end of 2004 and the first half of 2005, it is expected to reduce the inactivity of trains during the unloading process to 0.1 of an hour, and to increase the mean speed by 10%, as well as to fix the 9 electric locomotives VL-11 at the coal routes to the Sverdlovenergo plants. (KazInform)

***

A Production facility designed to improve the quality of fuel has been commissioned at the world largest coal strip mine, Bogatyr, in the city of Ekibastuz. Five years ago, experts from the company justified in technical terms the original project of coal blending directly on the conveyer during loading with a various types of coal

Currently, during the blending process, two rotary bucket excavators CPC (k)-2000, work simultaneously for one conveyer. A new loading crane boosted the volume of coal shipment by five times. All technology is equipped with electronic control systems for the automated maintenance of specified productivity. The German firm, Man Takraf, makes the equipment for the new facility.

For now, miners are able to supply consumers with up to 14 million tonnes of blending fuel per year. The LLP Bogatyr Access Komir has invested USD 28 Million into the project. According to specialists’ estimates, these assets will be paid off by 3.5 years. (KazInform)

 

Energy and Power

JSC Ust-Kamenogorsk Condensate Plant has purchased new high-tech equipment that will increase its opportunities, not only in electrical machinery production but also in developing a new line of production in the sheet-bending specter.

According to the general director of the plant, Viktor Aksenov, the new equipment was purchased from a German branch of a Japanese firm called Amada. The press “Europe 245\27” and the sheet bending press, HFT-802\2, operating together enable the company to work according to international standards, both qualitative and time wise. Earlier, it would take 1-2 months to process an order and now it takes the plant several days to a week.

“Surely, this extremely automated equipment requires special training by experts. The personnel operating the equipment were trained separately from the primary production operations. No one has such equipment in all of Kazakhstan”, the plant director proudly emphasized. (KazInform)

 

Transport and Telecommunications

The Kostanay Diesel Plant (KDP) began spending credit assets allocated to the OJSC Agromash Holding by the Kazakhstani Development Bank, the holding’s press service disclosed. As was reported earlier, by the end of summer 2005, it is anticipated to utilize USD 4,369,000 at KDP. Credit assets are being sent for the preparation to the full-scale commissioning of the plant’s primary power.

As a result of upgrading of production, by the end of the year, the KDP will utilize (upon request of the Altay Motor Plant) 70 spare parts and blocks. It is expected that the number of workplaces in KDP would be increased up to 1000 persons (currently some 330 people work at the plant).

The overall volume of KDBN credit for the holding is USD 8 Million. It expects to receive USD 20 Million from KDBN for the development of the KDP and service centres by February 1, 2005. (Kazakhstan Today)

***

The municipal court of Astana, Justice Zhanar Zhumabaeva, presiding, made a resolution that the Kazakhstani Agency on Information and Communication (AIC) has no legal right to conduct a competition for the transmission of radio frequencies for the creation of a new network of mobile communications, according to an old law, “On Communication”, the legal company Steiner und Zingermann LLP director Kanat Asylov said.

The Kazakhstani AIC will therefore postpone the tender for a new mobile communications operator for an indefinite period.

According to the director, in May, LLP Granada appealed to the Astana city court with a request to recognize that an order issued by the AIC chairman on competition for radio frequencies within the range of 1800 MHz designed for the subsequent creation of new network of mobile communication was illegal.

The plaintiff requested an exclusion from conditions on the usage of tender documents that enable AIC management to decline applicants, and to conduct a tender with only one candidate, which is not permitted by law.

Pursuant to the new Law “On Communications ” the distribution of frequencies is to be performed “transparently and openly”. The defendant agreed totally with the arguments on the part of the plaintiff and the court. It was decided to postpone the tender until a new provision is developed. (Kazakhstan Today)

***

Kazakhstan will conduct a tender to sell state shares of the OJSC Air Company Atyrau Aue Zholy on September 17, 2004. The State Committee on Property and Privatisation of the Ministry of Finance published an official message on Friday. The state’s share is 29.7% of the charter capital. There are 84,514 stocks.

It is planned to sell the state shares in the OJSC Air Company Atyrau Aue Zholy by single lot using the Dutch method (with a price reduction). The starting price of shares is KZT 1 Billion 520 Million (current exchange rate is 135.38/$1), the minimal price is KZT 40 Million, and the initial margin is KZT 22,800,000.

The State Committee on Property and Privatisation attempted to sell its state shares last autumn. However, due to an absence of bids the tender was cancelled. The starting price was KZT 1 Billion 520 Million with a minimal price of KZT 72 Million for the tender. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

 

Money Markets

KZT/USD market rate dynamics during the week

Currency Rates as of 24 August 2004

Currency ForEx market rate National Bank rate
KZT/USD 136.38 136.46
KZT/EUR No transactions 167.76

Note: Some of the information quoted in this issue has been provided for us by Golden Eagle Partners. For more information on those articles, please contact: zhanar@maverick.kz

For more information and other publications please contact Yelena Kovalenko at +7 (3272) 596 708

This publication is intended for investors who are not private or expert investors and should not, therefore, be redistributed to private or expert investors. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitutes, or is to be construed as, an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell investments. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Kazkommerts Securities Ltd. and/or connected persons may have acted upon or used this material, or the research or analysis on which it is based before its publication. Kazkommerts Securities Ltd. and/or connected persons may from time to time, as principal or agent, make purchases, sales and/or offers to purchase and/or sell in the open market or otherwise and may have a position long or short holding in any investment mentioned herein, or a related investment, as a result of engaging in such transactions.