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30 November  2004

Politics and Macroeconomics

 

Electricity Export From Kazakhstan To Russia Up 3.3% For First 10 Months Of Year

The export of electricity from Kazakhstan to Russia through January-October 2004 totalled 3.956 billion kilowatt/hour vs. 3.83 billion in 2003. The data is included in a press release from the Kazakhstani electrical energy association that was distributed during the second national meeting of power engineers on Friday in Astana.

In addition, the transit of electricity from Central Asian countries to Russia via Kazakhstan has increased 1.5 times since early 2004. Thus, the transit volume for the first ten months of the year stood at 1.4 billion kilowatt/hour compared to 900 million kilowatt/hour in Jan-Oct 2003.

According to the press release, in Jan-Oct 2004 Kazakhstan produced 53.72 billion kilowatts/hour of electricity or up 5% year-on-year.

Participants in the national meeting discussed problems and tasks of the power industry in light of new regulations and legislative acts. (Interfax Kazakhstan)

Mangystau Railway Line To Be Constructed In 2006

Construction of a 134 km railway in Mangystau Oblast from the Mangystau station to Fort-Shevchenko will begin in 2006. The government of Kazakhstan decided to construct the line due to increasing cargo traffic in the Mangystau region, the Fort-Shevchenko city administration reported.

The funds for the construction will be allocated from the national budget. Surveys are currently being carried out to study the area and the potential cargo traffic.

The city administration has reported that three routes were being considered. But specialists believe that the line from the Mangystau station is the most appropriate since the surface relief is most suitable. (Kazakhstan Today)

Gold And Silver Output Decreases

Kazakhstan produced 7,775 kg of affined gold from January to October of 2004, 6% less than during the same period of last year. Affined silver production decreased by 14%, down to 581,656 kg, the State Statistics Agency reported.

At the same time, the agency reported a 103% increase in aluminium compared to the same period of last year, producing 1,219,505 tonnes from January to October, 2004, and zinc production increased by 105%, producing 257,128 tonnes of unrefined zinc compared to last year.

Kazakhstan also boosted its output of magnesium and magnesium related products by 29% including waste and scrap metal, with the exception of magnesium carbide. Titanium and titanium products, including waste and scrap metal and excluding titanium carbide increased by 27%. The Statistics Agency does not provide data on the actual output of these non-ferrous metals. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

 

Equities

The KASE-Shares index decreased by 0.95% to 205.28 by the end of period on November 23 2004.

KASE-Shares index and weekly volume of trades.

Note: KASE-Shares index is based on ask prices for equities in A Listing

In the period between November 17 and November 23 2004, the volume of equity trades at the KASE increased to USD 9,022,867 from USD 17,050,946 in the previous period. The shares traded during the period were common shares of Bank CenterCredit (CCBN), Kazakhmys (KZMS), Ordabasy (ORDB), Rosa (ROSA), Temirbank (TEBN), ValutTransit Bank (VTBN), ValutTransit Zoloto (VTZL) and Zerde (ZERD) and preferred shares of ATF Bank (ATFBp), Kazakhtelecom (KZTKp), KazChrome (KZCRp) and ValutTransit Bank (VTBNp). (Irbis)

Company

Number of  Shares Sold

Closing Price USD

Change

CCBN

1,700,650

1.54

-8.6%

KZMS

2,000

45.99

+26.7%

ORDB

116,250

15.38

-23.8%

ROSA

66,300

4.63

-12.2%

TEBN

150,050

7.98

-3.8%

VTBN

800,515

2.46

+1.3%

VTZL

130,204

1.61

0.0%

ZERD

17,683,171

0.01

-23.1%

ATFBp

59,689

9.97

+30.0%

KZCRp

60

3.84

0.0%

KZTKp

158

22.43

+21.8%

VTBNp

35,353

2.65

+2.7%

Company News

 

Oil & Gas

Kazakhstan and the Agip KCO have reached a principle agreement on the country joining the North-Caspian project consortium as a full participant, and are continuing talks on parameters of the contract for the purchase of BG’s stake in the Project.

"Remaining questions concern a number of conditions, guarantees, and funding methods," the Kazakhstani Energy and Mineral Resources Minister, Vladimir Shkolnik said in the lobby of Kazakhstani parliament on Monday.

He noted that Kazakhstan's participation in the consortium means "a number of procedures connected with avoidance of a conflict of interest, on one hand, taxation and project' control, and on the other hand, participation in the project." The talks with the consortium will continue until end of November or early December.

Both the members of the consortium and the government of Kazakhstan intend to buy the 16.67% share, which is assessed at USD 1.23 Billion in value. In addition to BG, Agip KCO includes ENI, Total, ExxonMobil, Shell each holding 16.67% shares, as well as Inpex and ConocoPhillips owning 8.33% each.

Agip KCO was created after signing a 40-year PSA in 1997. It will begin commercial production in 2007 - 2008. Agip KCO said Kashagan holds an estimated 7 billion - 9 billion barrels of recoverable oil resources and total geological reserves of 38 billion barrels. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

***

The next round of talks on the possible purchase of BG’s stake in the North-Caspian project by Kazakhstan will be held in early December, most likely in Astana, Kazakhstani Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Vladimir Shkolnik reported to the energy sector council on Friday in Astana.

He reminded council participants that during previous talks, they had reached a principle agreement that Kazakhstan's participation in the project is necessary for its success.

Minister Shkolnik said, "Kazakhstan wants BG’s entire stake." Earlier however, he indicated that he was not ruling out the possibility that they would buy a portion of the BG share.

BG announced its intention to sell its stake in Agip KCO, which is drilling at a number of oil deposits, the largest being Kashagan.

Both the members of the consortium and the government of Kazakhstan intend to buy the 16.67% share, which has been assessed at USD 1.23 Billion. In addition to BG, Agip KCO includes ENI, Total, ExxonMobil, and Shell, each holding a 16.67% share, and Inpex and ConocoPhillips with 8.33% each.

Agip KCO was created after signing a 40-year PSA in 1997. It will begin commercial production in 2007 - 2008. Agip KCO said Kashagan holds an estimated 7 billion - 9 billion barrels of recoverable oil resources and total geological reserves of 38 billion barrels. (Interfax Kazakhstan)

***

The Middle East Petrol Company shipped 2.8-3 million tonnes of oil and oil related products from Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan from the Dyubendi terminal in Azerbaijan in 2004, the president of the Azersun Holding Company Group, Abdulbari Goozal, told journalists. According to him, this is 20% greater than last year. In 2005, the volume of oil shipments will grow another 20% compared to this year and will amount to 3.3 million tonnes.

Goozal also explained that after the acquisition of the Dyubendi terminal in April 2002, Middle East Petrol doubled the capacity of its reservoir park, up to 260 thousand tonnes, spending over USD 10 Million.

Moreover, Azersun Holding president announced the intention to export Azerbaijani sugar to the Caspian countries. Related talks are now underway with Kazakhstan. The annual sugar export volume of Azersun Holding will reach 120 thousand tonnes.

Azersun Holding was created in 1992 and specializes on the production of foodstuffs, containers and other goods. At present, the holding’s investments into the economy of Azerbaijan exceed USD 100 Million. (Kazakhstan Today)

***

The Canadian Nations Energy’s investment into the development of the Karazhanbas deposit will total USD 120 in 2005, according to Nations Energy Company Ltd. President Khashim Jojo Hadi Kusomo. Now, the daily oil extraction at the field is 48 thousand barrels. During the upcoming 2 years the company plans to increase it up to 80-90 thousand barrels.

The Nations Energy President reported that starting in 1997, the company invested over USD 250 Million into the development of the Karazhanbas deposit. This deposit is located on the Buzachi peninsula, 230 km from Aktau in Western Kazakhstan, and is being developed by KarazhanbasMunay, whose main owner is the Nations Energy Company Ltd. (94.62% of total shares, 100% of common stock).

KarazhanbasMunay was established in 1994 following the reorganization of Karazhanbasneft, created in 1986 from the Experimental oil and gas extraction department. In April 1997, the enterprise was privatised. (Kazakhstan Today)

***

The Azeri-Dutch joint venture (JV) Azeri Fugro, founded by SOCAR and the Dutch Fugro, each with a 60% and 40% share in the JV respectively and specializing in geotechnical and geophysical work, has received an offer from Kazakhstani companies to form a JV that would perform the same type of work in the Kazakhstani sector of the Caspian Sea.

A source from SOCAR reported that this long-term co-operation for over a 10-year period would be profitable for Azeri Fugro, but in order to finalize the offer, Dutch Fugro needs to provide their consent. The name of the Kazakhstani company has not been revealed, since the deal has not been finalized. The source observed that this issue would be one of the main topics on the agenda at the meeting of the board of directors of the Azeri Fugro JV, planned to be held around December.

Azeri Fugro JV provides a full spectrum of services including research, geological services and environmental protection work for the oil industry of the Caspian Sea. (Kazakhstan Today)

***

The Atyrau Oil Refinery (ANPZ) LLP processed 2.42 Million tonnes of crude oil in the first 10 months of 2004, 25.2% more than during the same period last year, the ANPZ press service reported.

KazMunayGas supplied ANPZ with 1 .78 Million tonnes of oil from January to October 2004. During the third quarter of 2004, ANPZ purchased 86 thousand tonnes of crude oil, or 82 % of the total purchased this year. Due to the abundant supply of oil to the refinery, the plant was able to accomplish their targeted refining quota for the entire year, within ten months.

ANPZ paid KZT 3.42 Billion in taxes for January-October 2004, according to the ANPZ press service. Taxes increased by KZT 308 Million compared to the same period of last year, mainly due to an increase in revenues. The company anticipates paying KZT 4.2 Billion in taxes for 2004.

ANPZ expects to increase the volume of processed oil and revenues significantly by the end of 2004. (Kazakhstan Today)

Banking and Finance

A syndicate of foreign banks has added USD 34 Million and made a one-year extension on a USD 36 Million syndicated loan made available to Bank CenterCredit (BCC), a Kazakhstan-based commercial bank, in November 2003. They signed an agreement on Thursday, the BCC press service stated.

This loan is “the largest one in the history of the BCC, both in terms of the amount and number of participating financial institutions,” the press release indicated.

The interest rate for the new loan is LIBOR+2.30% p.a., whereas the interest rate for the earlier drawn credit facility was LIBOR+2.55%.

The press service specified that the new loan is being made available for one year with a possible one-year extension.

According to the press service, the loan is being organized by the UK based Standard Bank London, the German HVB Group and the Italian SanPaolo IMI S. p. A., the same group that organized the first loan.

Syndicate participants of the BCC loan, including the organizers, are made up of 28 foreign banks and financial institutions with the following first time participants - HSH Nordbank AG, Danske Bank A/S, Moscow Narodny Bank Limited, Piraeus Bank, Alpha Bank AE, Hua Nan Commercial Bank Ltd., N.V. de Indonesische Overseese Bank, Chang Hwa Commercial Bank Ltd., the Export-Import Bank of the Republic of China.

BCC intends to spend the funds to finance export and import contracts for its clients. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

***

A new system was recently presented at the central office of TEXAKABANK in Almaty. For the first time in the Kazakhstani banking sector, TEXAKABANK is introducing an electronic scan and barcode system to identify payment documents.

The operations manager will be able to identify barcodes on payment orders with the help of a special scanner. The information is shown on the manager’s computer monitor. This enables the bank to process a payment order within one second.

Among the advantages of the new system is an increase in the speed of banking operations. The client can locate mistakes in filling out payment orders instantly, which allows the client to quickly correct them. The introduction of this system will lower costs related to the processing of payment orders. (Kazakhstanskaya Pravda)

Metals and Mining

JSC KazZinc showed a net profit of KZT 17,755 Million (current exchange rate 130.45/$1) from January to September 2004, versus KZT 9,905 Million for the same period of last year, the company said in a report filed with the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE).

According to the report, the company’s sales were KZT 65,489 Million versus KZT 45,436 Million in January-September 2003, and the cost totalled KZT 32,402 Million and KZT 23,571 Million accordingly.

Company equity reached KZT 66,734 Million as of early October 2004, compared to KZT 47,819 Million in October of last year; its charter capital remained at KZT 20,644 Million.

Company assets were KZT 119,955 Million as of October 1, 2004, compared to KZT 111,015 Million one year ago; its liabilities totalled KZT 53,221 Million as of October 1 of this year and KZT 63,196 Million in October of last year.

KazZinc is the largest integrated producer of zinc with a large accompanying output of copper, precious metals and lead.

KazZinc does not disclose its shareholders. It has however disclosed the general investor of the company as Glencore International A.G.

KazZinc produced 276,790 tonnes of zinc in 2003 compared to 266,886 tonnes in 2002. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

***

Oriel Resources Plc has reached an agreement to supply ThyssenKrupp AG, the largest steel manufacturer in Germany with ferronickel, to be extracted as part of the Shevchenko project in Kazakhstan, according to Bloomberg.

The Financial parameters of the agreement have not been disclosed, however. ThyssenKrupp will buy 140,000 tonnes of ferronickel annually, containing about 31,000 thousand tonnes of nickel.

The Bateman Industrial Corp. will conduct a study of the viability of the Shevchenko project, which will begin operation in 2007. A statement on the part of the Oriel Chief Executive Officer, Sergey Kurzin indicated that Bateman and ThyssenKrupp will assist in the attraction funds in order to finance the construction of mines (Interfax)

***

By the end of this year, miners from the Shatyrkul mine, located in the Shu region of the Jambyl Oblast will exceed the ore production and loading limit of one million tonnes. The department of energy and industry within the administration of the Jambyl Oblast reported that the subdivision of the Balkhash Mining and Metallurgical Plant, under the Kazakhmys Corporation, which has been operating since 2000, has the highest potential of the region.

According to forecasts made by geologists, the deposit’s copper and molybdenum ore reserves total several million tonnes, with a high copper content. The mine provides one-third of the Shu region population with jobs with an average salary of KZT 43,000. (KazInform)

Energy and Power

The President of the Kazakhstan Electricity Grid Operating Company (KEGOC), Kanat Bozumbayev announced that the Kazakhstani power industry requires USD 3.5 Billion in investment by 2015 at a national meeting of power engineers that took place on Friday in Astana.

He explained that the investment would be used to renew the industry’s generation, supply, distribution and heating systems.

Meanwhile, he specified that KEGOC will direct significant investments within its own program into the two largest projects; the construction of a second high-voltage transmission line, VL-500 kV, going North to South estimated at USD 295.7 Million, and an upgrading of the national power system with an estimated cost of USD 280 Million.

“KEGOC is not planning any other considerable investments until 2015,” Bozumbayev indicated.

According to Bozumbayev, KEGOC plans to attract funds for its projects from various sources, including the national budget and from external loans, which will be guaranteed by the state. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

***

The Petropavlovsk Plant, named after Kirov located in North Kazakhstan Oblast hopes to increase its production in 2005 by 1.5 - 2 times, according to Marat Abilmazhinov, the director of the facility.

During the first 10 months of this year, the plant has produced goods with a value of KZT 286.6 Million (current exchange rate 130.2/ USD 1), 292% greater compared to the same period last year.

The plant receives most of its orders from national oil and gas company, KazMunayGas and the national railroad company Kazakhstan Temir Zholy. The management of the plant is talking with the German organization, Siemens, regarding the management of the KEGOC electricity grid to produce automatic equipment protection cases.

The plant produces the following types of products; electrical energy meters (one and three phases, one and two tariff meters), protective devices for electrical engines, electricity transformers, oil pumping stations, alarms and railroad communication systems, parts for equipment used in the agriculture and energy sector. (Interfax Kazakhstan)

***

The liquid natrium coolant processing plant for the fast neutron BN-350 reactor at the Mangyshlak atomic power plant (MAEK), in the Mangystau Oblast, will begin operating in the spring of 2006, the Deputy Executive Director of the Nuclear Technology Security Center, Alexandr Klepikov, told Interfax-Kazakhstan.

 “The deadline for installing the natrium processing facility, taking into account project modifications, is April 2006. Construction is underway,” Mr. Klepikov said.

The building foundation and transformer substation is in place and technical equipment is being produced at the Belkamit plant in Almaty. “Moreover,” he said, “the radioactive liquid waste processing facility is now being designed and a feasibility study on the solid radioactive waste processing facility is being conducted.” MAEK maintains the reactor system to keep it in safe conditions.

As was announced earlier, the construction of the plant is being conducted with the help of funds from the United States, under the non-proliferation program. The cost of the project is USD 3 Million. The plant will be able to process 1,300 tonnes of liquid natrium into alkali.

In the future, another plant will be constructed to process alkali into geo-cement rock for long-term safe storage. It is believed that liquid natrium, used at the first sector of BN-350, will be processed into geo-cement rock by September 2007. The geo-cement rock will be buried on Kazakhstani territory. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

 

Transport and Telecommunications

Kazakhtelecom has commissioned a third international switching center (ISC) in Aktobe, thus creating an independent national telecommunications system.

 “Creation of the third national ISC has completed Kazakhstan’s transformation to international principles of communication with other national telecommunication systems and has instituted a sovereign telecommunications system in Kazakhstan,” the Kazakhtelecom president Aben Bektasov announced last Thursday at the commissioning ceremony.

He reminded attendees that Kazakhtelecom and the German Siemens had signed the contract to construct the 5,550 channel Aktobe ISC in December 2003, as part of an official meeting between the Kazakhstani President Nursultan Nazarbaev with the German chancellor Gerhard Shroeder. The cost of the project totalled KZT 200 Million (current rate 130.35 / $1).

The decision to construct the third ISC in Aktobe was made with the purpose of improving the reliability of the functioning of the long distance and international network, and was made considering the fact that the western region is characterized with high-level of business operations and the presence of foreign companies as well as a high volume of telephone traffic to Europe.

Kazakhtelecom is the only communications operator in the country providing services in rural areas. The company provides communication with more than 230 countries worldwide. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

***

The National Company, Kazakhstan Engineering and the Singaporean defence-engineering company Singapore Technologies Engineering (ST Engg) have established a joint venture called Kaz-ST Engineering Bastau, Kazakhstan Engineering informed Interfax-Kazakhstan on November 19.

The company said a charter and agreement signing ceremony was held in Almaty on November 15.

The heads of ST Engg and Kazakhstan Engineering had signed a memorandum of understanding that contained an agreement to establish a joint venture in Singapore in 2003.

The national company said that the main areas for the JV would be investment holding and defence services, engineering including in electronics, as well as assistance in industrialization of agriculture, the mining industry, railways, air-space, ship-building, ship-repair and security fields.

The company is headquartered in Singapore. ST Engg profits in 2003 totalled USD 1.7 Billion.

Singapore Technologies Engineering is among the ten largest companies in Singapore, and it has 100 subsidiaries in 15 countries.

The national company, Kazakhstan Engineering OJSC was founded in spring 2003 and has 19 enterprises in the former defence and engineering industry of Kazakhstan.

Most of these companies produce civil oriented products and services designed for both civilian and military goals.

A number of companies continue producing defence equipment including certain products that are export-oriented.

The large products include mobile oil drilling rigs, marine vessels, caterpillar tractors, and haulers.

The staff of Kazakhstan Engineering totals 9,000 people. Its annual turnover in 2003 equalled USD 30 Million. (Interfax-Kazakhstan)

 

Money Markets

KZT/USD market rate dynamics during the week

Currency Rates as of 30 November 2004

Currency ForEx market rate National Bank rate
KZT/USD 130.07 130.02
KZT/EUR No transactions 172.56

Note: Some of the information quoted in this issue has been provided for us by Golden Eagle Partners. For more information on those articles, please contact: zhonar@maverick.kz or newswire@ges.kz

For more information and other publications please contact Yelena Kovalenko at +7 (3272) 596 708

This publication is intended for investors who are not private or expert investors and should not, therefore, be redistributed to private or expert investors. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitutes, or is to be construed as, an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell investments. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Kazkommerts Securities Ltd. and/or connected persons may have acted upon or used this material, or the research or analysis on which it is based before its publication. Kazkommerts Securities Ltd. and/or connected persons may from time to time, as principal or agent, make purchases, sales and/or offers to purchase and/or sell in the open market or otherwise and may have a position long or short holding in any investment mentioned herein, or a related investment, as a result of engaging in such transactions.